Can you name modern technology that is obsolete? More technology remains from the past than we know. Yes, iPods are mostly gone because iPhone and smartphones created a better platform for music listening. The Mac made the original Apple computers obsolete, but look at how much Apple’s iconic PC has changed and adapted to the future.
Earlier this week I ran into a list of nearly a dozen tech products that experts say could be obsolete in a few decades. Don’t hold your breath. Here are some examples from Cheyenne Lentz:
USB drives – Fair enough. They replaced floppy disks, CDs, and DVDs, but iCloud, GoogleDrive, Dropbox, and Microsoft OneDrive may replace the USB drive.
DSLRs – film cameras were replaced rather quickly with digital technology, so is it probable that smartphone cameras will supplant DSLRs? It is happening already.
You see where this is going, right?
Tablets to replace Notebooks – It doesn’t take many brain cells to figure out this is happening already. iPad Pro is more powerful and useful than over 90-percent of all notebooks sold on the market today.
Those just seem to be too easy.
From there forward the prognostications become less plausible. Here’s a favorite:
Cars and Trucks – Or, as the headline goes, “Non-autonomous cars may no longer be on the roads by 2030.” That’s less than a dozen years away, and many people keep their cars much longer than that, so, no, self-driving cars may rule the future but non-autonomous cars will still be here in 2030.
Smartphones – Say goodbye to iPhone by 2040 and hello retinal implants or ocular implants and a hands-free system of wearables that you wear inside.
Store clerks and money – Kiss them both goodbye in 20 years, but you see it happening already. The Walmart near where I live has self-checkout and credit cards are the norm, even though they accept cash.
Cable TV – Supposedly, 5G and the changes in how we view so-called television will make cable TV companies a dinosaur. But not next year or the year after. The world’s population is fragmented so don’t expect too many of these technologies to take over completely. We do not yet know how well 5G will work and what it will cost (hint: more than you expect).
The list is interesting and seems to think the future will be full of virtual and augmented reality so how we use our Macs and PCs, or tablets and smartphones could be in for a drastic change.
I don’t think so.
Apple, for all the market disruption innovation that the company brings to technology, is far more mainstream than we give credit. Our favorite iPhone make is not afraid to dispense with technology and when it does the handwriting is on the wall for the rest of the industry, even if competitors have something new and unique.
When Apple makes it obsolete it’s going to be obsolete. Just not overnight.